Ukraine’s Struggle to Boost its Weapon Production amid Russian Invasion

Christian Baghai
3 min readDec 25, 2023

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Ukraine is grappling with a critical challenge as it confronts the Russian invasion that began in February 2022. The conflict has led to devastating losses, displacing millions and causing severe damage to infrastructure. A significant hurdle in this struggle is Ukraine’s shortage of artillery ammunition, vital for its defense against Russian tanks and troops.

Ukraine’s Deputy Defence Minister, General Ivan Gavryliuk, highlighted the country’s reliance on international military and financial aid to replenish its ammunition stocks. Political and logistical challenges have disrupted these supplies. A notable example is a $300 million USD aid package from the US, including anti-tank missiles, radars, and drones, which has faced delays due to congressional disagreements over budget and sanctions on Russia. The EU, NATO, and other allies have pledged support, but their assistance has been slow, falling short of the urgent needs of the Ukrainian army.

General Gavryliuk acknowledges the persistence of ammunition shortages in the short term. To address this, Ukraine aims to increase its domestic military production, focusing on kamikaze drones and plans to produce anti-tank missiles and radars. However, Ukraine’s defense industry faces challenges like limited funds, technology, and skilled workers, compounded by years of corruption, mismanagement, and loss of markets and suppliers due to the war and the annexation of Crimea by Russia. Ukraine’s military budget, around 5% of its GDP, is insufficient for the modernization and expansion of its arsenal, highlighting the ongoing need for international support.

Despite these challenges, Ukraine has made significant efforts to increase its domestic weapons production. In 2023, talks were held with Western weapons makers to set up production in Ukraine, particularly focusing on drones. Turkey, Norway, and the United States have been supplying drones, and further negotiations are underway to boost production within Ukraine. This includes a potential manufacturing plant by the Turkish defense company Baykar​​. Additionally, Ukraine has been prioritizing its defense production capabilities, collaborating with international armament producers to revive its domestic industry. Notably, it established a joint defense venture with German arms manufacturer Rheinmetall AG to service and repair Western weapons​​.

In 2024, Ukraine has set the goal of significantly increasing domestic weapons production. The strategic industries ministry reported that domestic defense output tripled in 2023 and is expected to grow sixfold in 2024. Ukraine is not only focusing on drone production but also looking to increase the domestic production of artillery ammunition, specifically 155 mm shells, to address frontline shortages​​​​. Moreover, Ukraine has signed numerous joint production deals with Western defense firms, aiming to enhance its capability to produce vital military equipment domestically. This includes a memorandum with the United States for joint production and technical data sharing, involving major British defense manufacturers like Babcock International Group and BAE Systems​​.

The war in Ukraine is a stark reminder of the importance of a nation’s ability to sustain its defense capabilities. As Ukraine strives to bolster its domestic weapon production, the support from its international allies remains crucial. This conflict is not just a regional issue but a testament to the values of democracy, human rights, and international law. Ukraine’s endeavors to strengthen its defense industry not only aim to secure its immediate survival but also to contribute to the broader security of its neighboring regions. The global community’s consistent and robust support is imperative for Ukraine to navigate this challenging period and emerge as a resilient, self-reliant nation in the face of adversity.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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