Trade Wars and the Art of Losing Gracefully

Christian Baghai
6 min readDec 2, 2024

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Let’s talk about trade wars. You know, those economic tantrums countries throw when their industries can’t keep up? They’re not about strength — they’re like slapping a “Do Not Disturb” sign on a crumbling hotel. And nothing screams “we’re failing” louder than an industry begging for tariffs. Enter the French automakers, waving their tiny white flag at the onslaught of Chinese EVs, while Toyota waltzes into the same battlefield without breaking a sweat.

1. Trade Wars: The Industrial Life Support Machine

A healthy industry doesn’t need trade wars. It innovates, adapts, and thrives. But a failing one? Oh, it loves a good tariff, like a bad student loves a cheat sheet. Protectionism is just a way to say, “We’re out of ideas, so let’s blame the other guy.”

  • Innovation-Free Zone: Instead of building better cars, industries scream for government help. It’s like asking for a medal for showing up to the race without training.
  • Bloated Costs: French automakers? They’re making cars so expensive you’d think they were built with solid gold wrenches. Meanwhile, the Chinese roll out affordable, cutting-edge EVs like they’ve got a magic conveyor belt.
  • Market Irrelevance: French cars dominate Europe but are MIA in places like China. They’ve over-invested in their home turf, leaving the global market wide open for brands like Toyota.

French automakers’ solution? Cry for tariffs. “Help us block those cheap Chinese EVs,” they say, while the real issue — falling behind on tech — is staring them in the face.

2. French Automakers: The Kings of Reactionary Thinking

Let’s not sugarcoat this. Peugeot and Citroën are running a playbook written in the 1990s. They’re lagging in tech, stuck in Europe, and clinging to outdated production models.

  • Tech Dinosaurs: While Tesla and Chinese brands push sodium-ion and solid-state batteries, French automakers are stuck peddling yesterday’s lithium-ion tech. It’s like trying to sell flip phones in the age of 5G.
  • Costly as Hell: Labor laws, high taxes, and bloated manufacturing make French EVs pricier than a Picasso painting. No wonder they can’t compete.
  • Geographic Tunnel Vision: Instead of branching out, they’re clinging to Europe like a kid holding onto their last piece of candy. Meanwhile, the global market is ripe for disruption.

The French play defense with tariffs while the Chinese play offense with innovation. Guess who’s winning?

3. Toyota: The Zen Master of Strategy

Toyota doesn’t need trade wars — they’re too busy dominating. The secret? They don’t fight the market; they learn its rules and rewrite them.

  • Local Bosses, Local Wins: Toyota gives its Chinese teams autonomy to adapt to local tastes. It’s like letting the chefs decide the menu instead of forcing sushi on burger lovers.
  • Tech That Wows: Hybrids, hydrogen, solid-state batteries — Toyota’s rolling out a tech buffet while others serve stale leftovers.
  • Partnerships, Not Protests: Instead of whining about competition, Toyota cozies up to Chinese suppliers. They’re playing chess while everyone else plays tic-tac-toe.
  • Opportunity Knocks: Where French automakers see threats, Toyota sees chances. They don’t fear China; they embrace it with open arms and ambitious goals.

Toyota’s not just winning in China — they’re setting the rules of the game.

4. Why Trade Wars Are Industrial Self-Sabotage

Protectionism feels good in the short term, like eating an entire cake because it’s your birthday. But long term? It’s a recipe for disaster.

  • Innovation Killer: Tariffs let industries stay lazy. Why improve when you can just block the competition?
  • Consumer Payback: Higher tariffs mean higher prices. Guess who foots the bill? That’s right — your wallet.
  • Global Punching Bag: Trade wars invite retaliation. Today it’s EVs, tomorrow it’s wine and cheese. The cycle of stupidity never ends.
  • Echo Chamber Economics: Protectionism isolates industries from global trends. Instead of learning, they double down on mediocrity.

French automakers are slapping Band-Aids on bullet holes. Tariffs won’t save them — innovation might.

5. The Lesson of French vs. Toyota

Look at this showdown: French automakers begging for protection, Toyota thriving in an open market. The difference? One embraces change; the other hides from it.

  • French Strategy: Build walls, block imports, and hope for the best.
  • Toyota Strategy: Tear down walls, innovate, and outcompete.

It’s the difference between a sprinter and a marathoner. Toyota’s in it for the long haul, while French automakers are out of breath at the starting line.

6. A Wake-Up Call for French Automakers

Here’s the truth: if Peugeot and Citroën want to survive, they need to stop crying and start creating.

  • Go Big on R&D: Stop milking old tech and dive into solid-state batteries, AI, and automation.
  • Think Global: Europe’s great, but the world’s bigger. Time to get serious about China, India, and Southeast Asia.
  • Cut the Fat: Lean manufacturing isn’t just a buzzword — it’s survival.
  • Stand Out: Peugeot, be sporty. Citroën, be weird and comfy. Just stop being the same flavor of vanilla.

The future won’t wait for them to get their act together. It’s innovate or evaporate.

Conclusion: Tariffs Are the Real Joke

Trade wars aren’t solutions — they’re symptoms of industries out of their depth. French automakers are playing the victim while Toyota shows how to win without whining. The lesson? Industries that innovate don’t need protection. They embrace competition, rise to the challenge, and thrive.

So, French automakers, here’s some advice: ditch the tariffs, learn from Toyota, and stop acting like the kid who didn’t study for the test. The global market’s not going to hand you an A for effort. It rewards results. Now go earn them.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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