The Trump Speakership: A Hypothetical That Holds a Mirror to American Politics

Christian Baghai
3 min readOct 8, 2023

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As someone who observes the American political landscape closely, the mere thought of Donald Trump becoming the Speaker of the House of Representatives feels like the introduction to a dystopian novel. Yet, in an ever-polarizing political climate, the improbable seems ever closer to becoming the inevitable.

The Ambitions and the Obstacles

While the U.S. Constitution doesn’t dictate that the Speaker must be a member of Congress, Trump’s pursuit of the role is a tantalizing yet precarious idea. It’s true, Trump could, in theory, ascend to this highly influential position which puts him third in line to the presidency. However, the path is far from smooth; the former president is embroiled in a labyrinth of lawsuits, criminal investigations, and the after-effects of two impeachment trials.

Furthermore, the role of the Speaker demands a finesse for negotiation, an appetite for compromise, and a flair for coalition-building. These are qualities that Trump has rarely displayed. His presidential tenure was marked by executive orders, often bypassing the legislative intricacies. Trump’s modus operandi has often been unilateral rather than collaborative. This raises the question: Is he truly suited for a role that demands bipartisanship for effective governance?

The Paradox of Popularity

The perplexing juxtaposition between Trump’s popularity within the GOP and his relatively lower standing with the American public at large is difficult to overlook. A poll by Rasmussen Reports shows a strong backing for Trump within his party, especially when compared to Kevin McCarthy, whose perceived inconsistencies cost him dearly. However, Trump’s approval ratings on a broader scale fall short of a majority, with 47% favoring and 53% opposing his hypothetical speakership.

The Ethical Quagmire: Nuclear Leaks

Adding another layer of complexity is the reported nuclear leak scandal, as published by The Guardian. Allegedly, Trump disclosed classified information concerning the location of U.S. nuclear submarines in the Indo-Pacific region to Australian billionaire Anthony Pratt. If proven true, this reveals an ethically compromised stance that jeopardizes not just his credibility but also poses national security risks.

The Political Chessboard

Endorsements matter, and Jim Jordan’s backing certainly carries weight within certain GOP circles. Known for his aggressive style and a fervent Trump loyalist, Jordan himself is a controversial figure. Accused of turning a blind eye to sexual abuse allegations during his time as a wrestling coach, his endorsement could be viewed as a double-edged sword.

On the other side of the aisle, current Speaker Nancy Pelosi dismisses Trump’s aspirations as a ‘sideshow’ and is bullish on Democrats retaining control of the House come the 2024 midterm elections. Pelosi’s disdain for Trump is hardly a secret, especially following the Capitol riots on January 6, 2021, which she attributes to Trump’s incitement.

The Implications

The possibility of Trump becoming Speaker is more than a curiosity; it’s a statement on the current health of American democracy. Should he overcome the multitude of obstacles, his election would signify a widening chasm between the two major political parties, possibly leading to an impasse that paralyzes effective governance. If a man facing multiple lawsuits, criminal investigations, and ethical questions can assume such a role, what does that say about the checks and balances that are supposed to underpin the U.S. government?

Moreover, the Speaker’s role, rooted in the principle of bipartisanship, could face an existential crisis. Trump’s method of governance has rarely involved reaching across the aisle; instead, he has doubled down on partisan divides. The question we must ask then is: Do we want a Speaker who could potentially undermine the integrity of the role, reducing it to a platform for personal vendettas and unilateral decisions?

In conclusion, while the Trump Speakership remains a hypothesis for now, it’s a notion that must be examined closely, for it holds a mirror up to the fissures in American society and governance. Whether you see the idea as an affront to democracy or a welcome disruption to the status quo likely depends on which side of the increasingly fractured American political divide you stand. And that, in itself, is telling.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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