The Silent Struggle: Understanding the Russian Psyche Amidst War

Christian Baghai
3 min readAug 29, 2023

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In recent times, the world has witnessed a series of events that have reshaped global politics, with Russia being at the epicenter of many such occurrences. The ongoing war, the mysterious plane crash near Moscow, and the subsequent speculations surrounding it have all added layers of complexity to the Russian narrative. However, to truly understand the situation, one must delve deeper into the psyche of the Russian populace and their perceptions of these events.

A recent poll indicated that a mere eight percent of Russians believe that their President, Vladimir Putin, was responsible for a certain high-profile incident. This statistic might come as a surprise to many, but when viewed through the lens of the current Russian socio-political climate, it paints a telling picture. The fact that only a small fraction dared to voice such an opinion, despite its potential reliability, speaks volumes about the atmosphere of fear and repression that seems to permeate the nation.

The methodology of the poll itself has been called into question, with some labeling it as “obnoxious.” When one considers the potential repercussions of answering such a loaded question within Russia’s borders, the skepticism becomes understandable. The mere act of insinuating that the nation’s leader could be involved in a heinous act, especially during a time of war, could have dire consequences for the respondent. This climate of fear has made it increasingly challenging to gauge the true sentiments of the Russian people.

However, this isn’t the only factor clouding our understanding. A significant portion of the population has reportedly stopped following war-related news, especially concerning specific figures like Prigozhin. This trend began even before the plane crash, with interest waning as the war dragged on. By the summer, the number of Russians paying attention to Ukraine-related news reached its lowest since the conflict began. This decline in interest can be attributed to a combination of factors: state-controlled media downplaying certain narratives, the public’s general fatigue with the war, and a conscious decision by many to focus on their personal well-being amidst the chaos.

Yet, even with this decline in interest, there remains a dedicated segment of society that closely monitors the war’s developments. These individuals, often relying on platforms like Telegram, are well-aware of the intricacies of the conflict and the players involved. For them, the events surrounding the plane crash and subsequent speculations were not just news but a heartbreaking reality. They represent a microcosm of the informed Russian populace, a group that, despite its size, holds significant influence in shaping public opinion.

The broader public’s disengagement from war-related news does not necessarily translate to apathy towards their leadership. Gauging the public’s sentiment towards Putin is a complex task, mired in nuances. Recent surveys suggest that approximately half of the population would consider voting for an alternative, qualified candidate over Putin. However, the reliability of such polls remains questionable, given the prevailing atmosphere of fear and the potential consequences of dissent.

The war has introduced a slew of laws that can be best described as wartime censorship. Over 550 individuals have been incarcerated for expressing their views or taking actions related to the conflict. This has fostered a palpable desire among many to distance themselves from the war and its associated narratives. The fear of repercussions, combined with state propaganda, has created an environment where many prefer to remain silent or echo the state-sanctioned narrative.

Despite the challenges in discerning the true sentiments of the Russian populace, certain trends are evident. A significant portion of society is ready to support peace negotiations in Ukraine. However, state propaganda, aimed at sowing confusion and painting a rosy picture of the war efforts, has muddied the waters. Those who dare to question the official narrative or seek clarity often find themselves facing dire consequences, ranging from imprisonment to forced emigration.

In conclusion, understanding the Russian psyche amidst the ongoing war requires a nuanced approach. The interplay of state propaganda, fear of repercussions, and the public’s general fatigue with the conflict has created a complex tapestry of opinions and sentiments. While the silent majority may choose to remain disengaged, the voices of the informed few resonate loudly, reminding us of the struggles and aspirations of a nation at a crossroads.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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