The Ongoing Struggle for Avdiivka

Christian Baghai
2 min readOct 22, 2023

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The Ukraine-Russia conflict, one of the most protracted and contentious geopolitical issues of our time, has seen a resurgence of violence since Russia’s invasion in February 2022. The situation has grown increasingly tense in the eastern Donbas region, particularly in and around the town of Avdiivka. Recent developments include the deployment of Russian MiG-31 fighter jets in occupied Crimea and an intense offensive on Avdiivka, a town of strategic and symbolic importance to both Ukraine and Russia. This blog post aims to dissect the multiple dimensions of the conflict with a focus on the recent events surrounding Avdiivka.

Why Avdiivka Matters

Avdiivka holds immense strategic and symbolic significance for Ukraine. Located on the front lines since the conflict began, the town has evolved into a powerful emblem of Ukrainian resistance and resilience. Beyond its symbolic worth, Avdiivka is also home to a large coking plant that supplies steel mills across the country, making it economically significant. For Russia, capturing Avdiivka would allow its forces to push the frontline away from Donetsk, the capital of rebel-held territory. It could also serve as a major military communications hub for Russia, making its capture a priority in the ongoing military campaign.

The Battle for Avdiivka: Claims and Counterclaims

According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukrainian forces have held off Russia’s assault on Avdiivka, repelling relentless shelling, airstrikes, and ground attacks from Russian troops and their proxies. Zelensky claims that Russian losses have been “really staggering,” with more than 100 tanks and 180 armoured vehicles destroyed and nearly 3,000 Russian troops killed.

However, Russia continues to deny any military involvement in the conflict, asserting that it only provides “humanitarian and political support” to the rebels. Both sides have been accused of exaggerating the other’s losses, and the actual battlefield situation remains murky.

Tactical and Strategic Aims

Russia’s renewed offensive aims to divert Ukrainian troops from other fronts and to seize more territory before the onset of winter. Despite some slow progress made by Kyiv in a counteroffensive that began in June, Russia has responded with intensified attacks around Avdiivka and Kupiansk, another strategically important town north of Avdiivka. In the last 24 hours alone, approximately 90 combat clashes have been reported along the front line, indicating the scale and intensity of the conflict.

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