The Epic Sea Battle Brewing Between the US and China

Christian Baghai
5 min readFeb 22, 2024

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Picture this: two giants, the US and China, are flexing their muscles on the high seas. It’s not just about who has the most ships; it’s a game of high-tech warfare, strategic one-upmanship, and global dominance.

China’s Navy is Making Waves

China’s naval expansion has been nothing short of impressive. They’ve been on a shipbuilding spree that’s got the whole world taking notes. With a fleet that’s grown larger than the US, they’re not just making waves; they’re causing a splash in the global naval scene.

But it’s not just about quantity; it’s about quality, too. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is churning out modern multi-role combatants that pack a punch with advanced anti-ship, anti-air, and anti-submarine weapons and sensors. Think of it as upgrading from a rowboat to a speedboat with all the latest tech.

And here’s the kicker: by 2025, the PLAN is expected to expand to 400 ships, and they’re not stopping there. The goal is to hit 460 ships by 2030. That’s like going from a solo swimmer to an entire Olympic team in record time.

The PLAN’s got their eyes on the prize with some serious hardware, too. We’re talking about aircraft carriers, destroyers, frigates, corvettes, and the big boys — the Type-55 Renhai-class guided-missile cruisers. These cruisers are like the heavyweight champions of the sea, with a 112-cell vertical launch system that can carry a whole arsenal of missiles.

And let’s not forget the Fujian Ship, China’s new carrier that’s gearing up for sea trials. This beast is part of China’s dream to have at least four carrier fleets by 2030 and six aircraft carriers by 2035. That’s like having a fleet of star players ready to dominate the naval big leagues.

Uncle Sam’s Comeback Plan

The US Navy is all about that tech glow-up. They’re not just chilling on the sidelines; they’re in the tech gym, pumping iron and getting their fleet swole. The plan? A major revamp of their naval lineup, and it’s not just about adding a few new ships to the mix. They’re going full-on futuristic with about 150 robotic ships to sail alongside the traditional fleet by 2045.

These aren’t your grandpa’s model boats; we’re talking high-tech, unmanned surface and subsurface vessels. Think of them as the Navy’s new workout buddies, helping to keep the fleet fit and fierce. And it’s not just for show — these robotic ships are part of a bigger strategy called Force Design 2045, which is all about staying agile and ready for whatever the future throws at them.

But wait, there’s more! The Navy’s also got a plan to keep their ships in tip-top shape with some smart tech. They’ve got a new $5 million contract to roll out robotics across their shipyards for predictive maintenance. This means they’ll be using AI to check out their ships, spot any issues before they become big problems, and keep everything running smoothly.

And let’s not forget, this techy transformation is also about keeping an eye on the competition. With China’s fleet getting bigger and bolder, the US Navy’s not about to let them have all the fun. These robotic ships are like the Navy’s own team of drones, ready to keep an “electronic eye” on the seas and make sure they’re not caught off guard.

Shipyard Makeover: Pimp My Dock

The US Navy is seriously upping its shipyard game with a massive, 20-year, $21 billion Shipyard Infrastructure Optimization Program (SIOP). This isn’t just a fresh coat of paint; it’s a full-on transformation to bring the Navy’s four public shipyards into the 21st century.

Here’s the deal: the Navy’s shipyards are pretty historic, with some dating back to the 19th century. They were originally designed for sail- and conventionally-powered ships, not the nuclear-powered behemoths of today. So, you can imagine, they’re due for an upgrade.

SIOP is all about modernizing dry docks, optimizing industrial processes, and updating equipment to meet today’s standards. We’re talking about making the shipyards more efficient, reducing maintenance costs, and minimizing schedule risks. It’s like turning an old-school garage into a high-tech hub for ship repair and maintenance.

And it’s not just about efficiency; it’s about capability. With these upgrades, the shipyards will be able to handle the maintenance needs of the Navy’s most advanced aircraft carriers and submarines. This means better support for the fleet and ensuring that these critical assets are combat-ready when needed.

The Navy’s not cutting corners either. They’ve got a whole team on this, including the Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA), Naval Facilities Engineering Command (NAVFAC), and Commander, Navy Installations Command (CNIC). They’re looking at everything from environmental protection to workflow productivity to make sure they get it right.

Why This All Matters

This naval tussle between the US and China isn’t just a high-stakes game of Battleship. It’s a full-blown drama that’s got the entire globe on the edge of its seat. The stakes? They’re sky-high, and the outcome could seriously reshape the military landscape, not just in the Indo-Pacific, but worldwide.

Here’s the scoop: China’s military makeover is turning heads, especially with their latest tech marvel, the Fujian aircraft carrier. It’s a beast with an electromagnetic launch system that’s all about speed and power1. And with plans to modernize into a “world-class” military by 2035, China’s not just aiming to play in the big leagues; they’re looking to dominate.

But it’s not just about who has the biggest fleet. This race is about influence and control over some of the world’s most crucial sea lanes. We’re talking major trade routes that are the lifeblood of global commerce. If tensions boil over, it could mean trouble for everyone’s Amazon deliveries and much more.

And let’s not forget the nuclear angle. The US Department of Defense is eyeing China’s nuclear stockpile, which could quadruple by 2030. That’s a game-changer that could shift the balance of power and make the Cold War look like a snowball fight.

So, why does this all matter? Because it’s not just about flexing military muscle. It’s about the future of international relations, the risks of missteps leading to conflict, and the potential to redraw the map of global power. It’s a reminder that in the game of thrones on the high seas, you win or you… well, let’s just hope it doesn’t come to that.

Keeping It Chill

While all this sounds like the plot of a blockbuster movie, it’s serious business. It’s a fine line between keeping the peace and sparking a showdown. The choices the US and China make now are like setting up dominoes — one wrong move, and things could get messy.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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