Starlink: The New Kid on the War Block

Christian Baghai
6 min readFeb 22, 2024

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So, have you caught the latest on Starlink showing up in the Ukraine drama? That’s right, Elon Musk’s SpaceX is the mastermind behind this satellite internet gig. It’s been a total game-changer for Ukraine, keeping them connected when the rest of the comms are biting the dust. But get this — Ukraine’s Digital Transformation Minister, Mykhailo Fedorov, is teaming up with SpaceX to put a stop to Russian forces using Starlink in the occupied areas. They’re cooking up some tech wizardry, possibly an ‘algorithm’, to keep the service out of enemy hands while still helping the good folks in Ukraine.

And here’s a bit more juice: Starlink has been a big player since the early days of the invasion, stepping in when cyberattacks took down other networks. It’s not just about staying online for memes and messages; we’re talking serious military moves, like controlling drones for surveillance and combat. Plus, the U.S. Department of Defense is now footing the bill for Ukraine’s Starlink usage, which means Uncle Sam’s got a stake in this space saga too.

But it’s not all smooth sailing. Russia’s not thrilled about Starlink messing with their plans, and they’ve been trying to jam the signals. Meanwhile, SpaceX is walking a tightrope, trying to support Ukraine without crossing lines that could spark even more trouble.

Guess Who’s Also Tuning In?

But here’s the twist — it seems Russian troops are not just snagging these Starlink terminals; they’re using them in droves. According to Ukrainian military intelligence, Russian forces have been using thousands of Starlink satellite communications terminals. This is a significant plot twist, indeed. Starlink was supposed to be Ukraine’s ace in the hole, a secret comms weapon to keep them connected despite cyberattacks and infrastructure damage. Now, the other side’s got their hands on it too, and it’s not just a few isolated incidents. It’s becoming a “systemic” issue, with units like Russia’s 83rd air assault brigade reportedly using the terminals near Klishchiivka and Andriivka in the Donetsk region.

The implications are vast. Starlink terminals are supposed to be geofenced to prevent their use in unauthorized locations. However, there’s chatter about Russian forces potentially spoofing the geofence to make a terminal in a blocked area appear as if it’s in a permitted area. This raises questions about the security of the technology and the ease with which it can be manipulated.

SpaceX has denied selling Starlink terminals to Russia, and Elon Musk has categorically stated that no Starlinks have been sold directly or indirectly to Russia. Yet, the presence of these terminals with Russian forces suggests a complex challenge in preventing the technology from falling into the wrong hands. It’s a stark reminder that in warfare, even the most well-intentioned tools can end up serving both sides of the conflict.

Why Satellite Comms Are a Big Deal

Satellite comms have been around the block, especially when it comes to warfare. But the idea of both sides tapping into the same network? Now, that’s something you don’t see every day. It’s a game-changer, for sure. Being able to stay plugged in, no matter the chaos unfolding on the ground — that’s a lifeline in a war zone. And it’s not just about making calls or sending texts. We’re talking real-time, strategic communication that can shift the tide of battle.

Now, let’s dive a bit deeper. Satellite communications have evolved big time since they first proved their worth during Operation Desert Storm back in ‘91. Back then, it was all about having those eyes in the sky, but today, it’s a whole different ball game. The tech’s gotten smarter, faster, and a heck of a lot more compact. We’ve got laser communications and small satellite constellations changing the playbook.

But here’s the kicker: these advancements aren’t just for the good guys. Adversaries are in on it too, and they’re finding ways to exploit the same tech we rely on. It’s like a high-stakes game of cat and mouse, up in space. The U.S. military’s been hustling to keep up, making sure their SATCOM networks are speedy and resilient enough to handle whatever’s thrown at them.

So yeah, satellite comms in warfare? They’re not just a nice-to-have. They’re essential, and now that both sides of a conflict might be using the same network, it’s a whole new frontier. It’s about staying one step ahead, keeping those lines open, and making sure you’re the one holding the ace when it counts.

SpaceX’s Sticky Situation

SpaceX is indeed facing a conundrum. Their mission to wire the world is noble, but war was never part of the plan, especially not a conflict where both sides might leverage their tech. They’ve been clear about their stance: no business with Russia. But reality is rarely black and white, and the current situation is a testament to that complexity.

Recent reports have shed light on SpaceX’s nuanced position. The company has taken steps to limit Ukraine’s ability to use Starlink for certain military operations, such as controlling drones, which were reportedly being used to target Russian positions. This move aligns with SpaceX’s policy that Starlink was provided for humanitarian purposes, not for offensive actions. Gwynne Shotwell, SpaceX’s president, emphasized that the technology was “never meant to be weaponized” and that they have implemented measures to curb its use in offensive capabilities, though specifics weren’t disclosed.

The decision has sparked a debate, with Ukrainian officials urging companies to choose a side in the conflict, framing it as a choice between supporting Ukraine’s right to freedom or siding with Russia’s aggression. SpaceX’s actions also reflect the broader challenge of private sector involvement in conflicts, where the intended use of technology for civilian purposes can quickly become entangled in military operations.

Despite the controversy, SpaceX has continued to provide Starlink services to Ukraine, funded by the company itself and through agreements with organizations like the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), . This support has been crucial for maintaining communication in Ukraine, particularly in the face of Russian attempts to jam Starlink signals.

The Bigger Picture

This whole saga has sparked a global convo about the role of private companies in wars. It’s one thing to sell tech that ends up being used in conflict, but it’s another when your services become a lifeline for one side — or both. And with SpaceX’s Starlink caught in the crossfire, it’s clear we need some ground rules for using commercial satellite services when the stakes are life and death.

But here’s where it gets real sticky. Private military companies (PMCs) have been in the mix for a while, doing everything from logistics to actual combat support. And now, with commercial satellites being dual-use — helping both civilians and military — things are even more complicated. The Space Force is even stepping up to release guidelines for using commercial satellite services in military activities, which shows just how much this issue is on the radar.

The big question is, how do we regulate this? There’s a fine line between supporting operations and becoming part of the conflict. PMCs already operate in legal gray areas, and now we’ve got commercial satellites potentially being targeted if they’re used in war. It’s a new frontier, and the rules of engagement are still being written.

So yeah, this isn’t just about SpaceX or Starlink. It’s about setting precedents for the future of warfare and the role private enterprises play when their tech goes to the front lines. It’s about finding that balance between innovation and responsibility, and making sure that when bullets start flying, we’ve got a clear playbook to follow.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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