Hybrid Warfare and the Bullsh*t of Concessions

Christian Baghai
6 min readDec 7, 2024

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Let’s get one thing straight: proposing concessions to Russia in Ukraine isn’t just naive — it’s outright dumb. You know why? Because hybrid warfare isn’t a means to an end; it’s the endgame itself. It’s perpetual. It’s sneaky. It’s a giant middle finger to traditional diplomacy. And yet, here come the armchair diplomats with their “peace plans” that miss the entire point. Let’s tear this nonsense apart, one delusion at a time.

1. Hybrid Warfare: Russia’s Never-Ending Sh*tshow

Hybrid warfare isn’t about winning and losing; it’s about keeping the chaos going. It’s like a really bad soap opera that never gets canceled. Russia doesn’t just want a piece of Ukraine — it wants to keep Ukraine on life support, bleeding out slowly.

  • Concessions? Please. Giving Russia a chunk of land won’t stop the cyberattacks, the propaganda, or the sabotage. Hybrid warfare isn’t territorial — it’s psychological. You don’t stop it by drawing new borders. You just hand Russia a bigger map to screw with.
  • Destabilization: The Main Event. Russia’s goal isn’t about planting a flag; it’s about breaking Ukraine as a functional state. Concessions don’t stop that — they’re the appetizer.

2. Weakness is Blood in the Water

Here’s the thing: hybrid warfare feeds on weakness. You offer a concession, and Russia doesn’t say “thank you” — it says, “What else can we take?” It’s like giving a mugger your wallet and hoping they won’t take your watch.

  • Concessions Prove Pressure Works. To Putin, a territorial concession isn’t peace — it’s proof that hybrid warfare gets results. That’s like teaching a dog that biting gets treats. Guess what? The dog’s gonna bite again.
  • No NATO, No Problem (For Russia). Taking NATO off the table for Ukraine doesn’t bring stability; it’s an open invitation for more chaos. You’ve just told Russia it can keep poking the bear without consequences.

3. Peace Plans Are Too Dumb for Hybrid Warfare

Let’s get this straight: hybrid warfare isn’t conventional war. It’s not about tanks and trenches — it’s about making a country implode from every angle. Peace plans that talk about territory and treaties? They’re playing checkers while Russia’s playing 4D chess.

  • Cyberattacks Don’t Care About Peace Talks. Even if you hand over half of Ukraine, Russia’s hackers will still be frying their power grids and stealing their bank data.
  • Propaganda: The Gift That Keeps Giving. Russia’s disinformation machine isn’t stopping just because you signed a deal. It’s still pumping out lies, stirring up division, and making everyone question what’s real.

4. The Gray Zone: Russia’s Playground

Hybrid warfare thrives in the gray zone — that murky space between peace and war. And guess what? Concessions just make the gray zone bigger. You’re not solving anything; you’re giving Russia more room to screw around.

  • Appeasement is a Green Light. Conceding territory or NATO aspirations is like telling a bully, “You win,” and then wondering why they keep taking your lunch money. Hybrid warfare doesn’t end — it escalates.
  • Russia Doesn’t Need Boots on the Ground. The beauty of hybrid warfare (for Russia) is that it doesn’t require soldiers — just chaos. And boy, do they love chaos.

5. Concessions: Global Sh*tstorm Incoming

Hybrid warfare doesn’t just mess up the target country; it destabilizes the whole damn planet. Letting Russia win this game doesn’t just screw Ukraine — it screws everyone.

  • The Dictator Playbook. If Russia pulls this off, every tinpot dictator from Beijing to Tehran is gonna take notes. Hybrid warfare becomes the new hot trend in global assholery.
  • The West Loses Face. Letting Russia carve up Ukraine makes NATO and the EU look like a bunch of spineless bureaucrats. Guess what happens next? Nobody takes Western alliances seriously anymore.

6. Morality, Meet the Shredder

Hybrid warfare doesn’t just attack a country’s infrastructure — it attacks its soul. Concessions don’t just betray Ukraine; they betray every democracy fighting to stay afloat.

  • Kicking Democracy in the Teeth. Giving in to Russia undermines everything Ukraine and its allies are fighting for. It’s like telling the world, “Democracy’s negotiable.”
  • Sovereignty Isn’t Optional. Hybrid warfare is about erasing sovereignty, one compromise at a time. Concessions don’t stop the eraser; they speed it up.

7. Hybrid Warfare Outsmarts Dumb Peace Plans

Here’s the deal: hybrid warfare is designed to outwit traditional thinking. Peace plans that rely on treaties and concessions? They’re a joke. Russia’s playing a long game, and you’re trying to win in five moves.

  • Static Solutions to Dynamic Problems. Concessions are a one-and-done deal. Hybrid warfare is a constant evolution. Close one door, and Russia opens five windows.
  • Naive Diplomacy. Peace plans assume there’s an endpoint. Hybrid warfare ensures there never is. Concessions don’t end the conflict; they just shift it into another gear.

Conclusion: Concessions Are a One-Way Ticket to Chaos

Here’s the bottom line: concessions and NATO compromises aren’t peace — they’re surrender. Hybrid warfare doesn’t end when you give up land or political leverage. It morphs, adapts, and comes back stronger. Addressing hybrid warfare means fighting it on every front — military, political, economic, cyber, and informational. Anything less is just rolling over and letting Russia run the table.

So the next time someone floats a peace plan that involves giving Putin what he wants, do me a favor: laugh in their face, hand them a history book, and remind them that hybrid warfare doesn’t take “no” for an answer.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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