Fibonacci Numbers: A Mathematical Freak Show Meets Wall Street

Christian Baghai
6 min readJan 18, 2025

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Photo by Bernard Hermant on Unsplash

Ah, Fibonacci numbers — the mathematician’s version of a bad habit. They’re everywhere, they’re addictive, and no one really knows why they work, but we’re too hooked to care. These little numerical celebrities pop up in flowers, galaxies, and, yes, even your bank account. Let’s dive into their quirks, how to wrangle them, and how they’ve managed to con their way into the stock market.

1. Brute Force Method: The Math Caveman’s Approach

Conceptual Simplicity:

So here’s the deal: take two numbers, add ’em up, and get a new one. Rinse and repeat until your head starts spinning. This method builds the sequence one step at a time, starting from ground zero — literally.

It’s like baking bread: knead, wait, repeat — simple, repetitive, and oddly satisfying.

Limitations:

  • Time Complexity: This method is slower than a DMV line. If you’re trying to calculate the 100th Fibonacci number, you might want to pack a lunch.
  • Space Complexity: This method devours memory like a stoner with a bag of chips. Expect a stack overflow when you push it too far.
  • Practical Use: Great for impressing nerdy friends at parties, not so great for doing anything productive.

Optimizations:

  • Dynamic Programming: Keep track of your previous numbers like a hoarder, and you’ll save time. Efficient? Yes. Exciting? Not really.
  • Matrix Exponentiation: Sounds fancy, and it is. Think of it as the luxury sports car of Fibonacci calculations: sleek, efficient, and totally unnecessary unless you’re showing off.

2. Binet’s Formula: Math Meets Magic

Golden Ratio and Exact Computation:

Enter Binet’s Formula, where math turns into a Vegas magic show. Instead of trudging through the sequence, this method uses a mystical constant called the golden ratio to predict Fibonacci numbers like some kind of math wizard.

The golden ratio is the diva of the math world — always showing up where you least expect it, from pyramids to seashells. Apply it to Fibonacci numbers, and voila, instant results without breaking a sweat.

Efficiency:

  • Direct Calculation: No more adding and re-adding. This is math’s version of fast food: quick, easy, and a little suspect.
  • Precision Challenges: When the numbers get too big, the computer throws a tantrum. Floating-point errors sneak in, and your results end up wobblier than a drunk tightrope walker.

Philosophical Depth:

This method feels like the love child of beauty and efficiency. It’s elegant, pretentious, and just a little too smug — like someone who always orders their coffee with oat milk.

3. Why Fibonacci Numbers Matter (or Pretend to)

In Computational Complexity:

Studying Fibonacci numbers is like CrossFit for your brain: it’s hard, makes you feel smart, and no one outside your circle really cares.

In Nature and Science:

Fibonacci numbers are everywhere, from sunflower spirals to galaxy formations. Nature’s obsessed with these numbers for reasons we’re still trying to figure out — probably the same reason people love TikTok.

In Cryptography and Data Science:

Who knew your middle school math homework would someday power encryption and data modeling? Turns out, Fibonacci numbers are more versatile than duct tape.

In the Stock Market:

Here’s where things go off the rails. Fibonacci numbers are the unofficial horoscope of the financial world. Traders use something called Fibonacci retracement levels to predict stock movements, and it’s all based on percentages from the sequence.

How It Works: You take a recent high and low price, slap on some magical percentages like 23.6% or 61.8%, and pretend you’ve cracked the Wall Street code.

Real-World Application: And because we’re nerds, here’s a Python snippet that retrieves real stock data and calculates Fibonacci levels:

import yfinance as yf
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import datetime
def download_stock_data(ticker, start_date, end_date):
"""Download historical stock data from Yahoo Finance."""
stock_data = yf.download(ticker, start=start_date, end=end_date)
return stock_data
def calculate_fibonacci_levels(stock_data):
"""Calculate Fibonacci retracement levels for the given stock data."""
high_price = stock_data['High'].max()
low_price = stock_data['Low'].min()
diff = high_price - low_price
levels = {
'0%': high_price,
'23.6%': high_price - 0.236 * diff,
'38.2%': high_price - 0.382 * diff,
'50%': high_price - 0.5 * diff,
'61.8%': high_price - 0.618 * diff,
'100%': low_price
}
return levels
def plot_fibonacci_retracement(stock_data, levels):
"""Plot the stock closing prices and Fibonacci retracement levels."""
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
plt.plot(stock_data['Close'], label='Close Prices', color='black')
for level, price in levels.items():
plt.axhline(price, linestyle='--', label=f'{level} ({price:.2f})')
plt.title('Fibonacci Retracement Levels')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Price')
plt.legend()
plt.grid()
plt.show()
# Parameters
ticker = 'AAPL' # Example: Apple Inc.
start_date = '2023-01-01'
end_date = '2023-12-31'
# Execution
stock_data = download_stock_data(ticker, start_date, end_date)
fibonacci_levels = calculate_fibonacci_levels(stock_data)
plot_fibonacci_retracement(stock_data, fibonacci_levels)

Here’s what this code does:

  • Downloads real historical data for the selected stock (e.g., Apple Inc.) within a specified date range.
  • Identifies the highest and lowest prices in the dataset and calculates Fibonacci retracement levels.
  • Visualizes the stock’s closing prices along with the retracement levels.

The Big Secret? Fibonacci retracements work because traders believe they work. It’s mass psychology masquerading as math, and honestly, who’s going to argue with the stock market’s horoscope?

4. Deep Thoughts (or Shallow Ones, Depending on Your Mood)

Efficiency vs. Understanding:

The brute force method is like trying to paddle a canoe upstream: slow, painful, but character-building. Binet’s Formula is the express train: smooth, fast, and a little boring. And Fibonacci in the stock market? It’s like reading tea leaves: mostly nonsense, but every now and then, it kind of works.

Mathematics as a Tool:

At its core, Fibonacci numbers remind us that math is more than equations and symbols. It’s about finding patterns in chaos — or at least convincing ourselves we have.

Conclusion:

Fibonacci numbers: they’re everywhere, they’re weird, and they’re just a little overrated. But whether you’re using them to model nature, crack cryptography, or gamble on the stock market, one thing’s for sure: these numbers aren’t going anywhere. And hey, neither are we.

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Christian Baghai
Christian Baghai

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