Artillery Ammunition: The Pivotal Factor in the Ukraine Conflict
The world is currently witnessing a conflict that has been characterized by a significant reliance on artillery. The war in Ukraine has seen both sides, Ukraine and Russia, heavily dependent on artillery for their military operations. This has led to a situation where the sustainability of artillery ammunition has become a critical factor in the ongoing conflict.
The Russian side, despite its vast resources, has been grappling with the challenge of sustaining its artillery ammunition. The country’s production rates have not been able to keep up with the consumption rates. The Russian government has been less than transparent about the actual production numbers, making it difficult to ascertain the true state of affairs. However, it is clear that the country’s ammunition stockpile is dwindling, and new production is not keeping pace with the demand.
Russia has been trying to diversify its equipment and ammunition to make better use of its existing stockpile. The country has been reactivating older tanks and artillery systems to alleviate the pressure on its 152mm stocks. It has also been resorting to makeshift measures, such as bolting automatic mortars and helicopter rocket pods to armored vehicles. While these measures may not be ideal, they are indicative of the lengths Russia is willing to go to maintain its artillery firepower.
On the other hand, Ukraine has been facing its own challenges in terms of artillery ammunition. The country has been heavily reliant on its allies for artillery support. The United States has been one of the most important supporters, providing precision-guided munitions and other artillery support. However, the US has been protective of its own stockpiles and readiness levels, limiting the amount of support it can provide.
European countries have been more significant in terms of production capacity for artillery ammunition. However, their efforts to ramp up production have been slow and complicated. Many firms did not receive major contracts to increase production until 2022, and significant investments are only starting to happen now. The delays have been attributed to various factors, including initial expectations of a short war, protection of domestic industries, and bureaucratic and budgeting delays.
Despite these challenges, there are efforts underway to increase production of artillery ammunition. The EU is looking to provide Ukraine with about a million shells this year and increase its production capacity to a million 155mm rounds as well. If this happens, it could potentially widen the gap between the production of 155mm rounds by Ukraine’s allies and what Russia can produce itself in terms of its 152mm shell.
In conclusion, the sustainability of artillery ammunition is a critical factor in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Both sides are grappling with challenges in maintaining their artillery firepower. The outcome of the war could very well hinge on who can sustain their artillery ammunition in the long run. As things stand, it seems that Ukraine, with the support of its allies, may have an advantage in this regard. However, the situation is fluid, and a lot will depend on how effectively both sides can leverage their resources in the coming months.
